The idea
Two forces drive a pump: new buyers and the forced buying of liquidated short sellers. Black Swan waits for the moment both forces are running out. The price has gone far, overheating shows not on one candle but on several timeframes, new positions are in, and the short squeeze has played out. From there the rally rests only on voluntary buyers — and they start giving way to sellers.
How the radar decides
- Checks 7 required rules: RSI overheating on 5m, 15m and 1h, open interest growth within corridors over 15 and 30 minutes, a 15–50% price rise over 4 hours and short liquidations of 0.05% of OI or more over 15 minutes. If even one fails, there is no event.
- Counts confirmations: RSI 4h, distance from VWAP on 30m and 1h, short liquidations over 5 minutes, a volume spike and negative CVD. At least 4 of 6 are needed.
- Assigns a score: the share of matched confirmations. 4 of 6 is a score of 67, 6 of 6 is 100.
- Starts a pause on the coin for an hour (cooldown 3600 s) so it doesn't send repeats.
A real signal
BTWUSDT, Bybit futures, 17.10.2026 17:16:52, score 67. All 7 required rules matched: RSI 76.95 / 75.54 / 75.51 on 5m / 15m / 1h, OI +5.39% over 15 minutes and +5.41% over 30 minutes, a 16.69% rise over 4 hours, short liquidations at 0.0595% of OI. Confirmations: VWAP 1h 3.17%, VWAP 30m 2.36%, volume spike 3.46x, CVD −4.16%. RSI 4h and the 5-minute liquidations didn't match.
All rules: Black Swan
Exactly as in the dashboard. An event is saved when all 7 required rules match and at least 4 confirmations out of 6. Each rule links to its indicator page.
Required (AND) — all needed7
ANDRSI 5m ≥ 70RSI→ ANDRSI 15m ≥ 68RSI→ ANDRSI 1h ≥ 65RSI→ ANDOI Δ 15m 3% to 15%Open Interest→ ANDOI Δ 30m 5% to 20%Open Interest→ ANDPrice change in 4h 15% to 50%Price→ ANDShort liquidations / OI 15m ≥ 0.05%Liquidations→Confirmations (OR) — at least 4 of 66
ORRSI 4h ≥ 65RSI→ ORVWAP deviation 30m ≥ 2%VWAP deviation→ ORVWAP deviation 1h ≥ 3%VWAP deviation→ ORShort liquidations / OI 5m ≥ 0.05%Liquidations→ ORVolume spike 5m ≥ 3xVolume spike→ ORCVD Δ 5m ≤ 0%CVD→Demo radar rules as of 15–20.10.2026. In the dashboard they can be exported and imported into your own trap.
Trades on signals from Black Swan
Alerts from this radar in the @Trap_Radar_Pro channel whose result the author posted as a reply. These are not all of the radar's signals, only trades with a published result.
| Coin | Alert, Moscow time | Price move | Lev. | ROI | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STRKUSDT | 15.10 12:57 | −12.28% | 15x | +184.21% | post |
| BTWUSDT | 17.10 17:16 | −7.51% | 10x | +80.52% | post |
ROI is on margin with leverage, as on the Bybit screenshot; the price move is without leverage. October 2026. Past results do not guarantee future results.
FAQ
How is Black Swan different from Swan Precision?
How many signals does Black Swan give?
Can I use the Black Swan rules in my own trap?
This page explains how Trap Radar rules work and is not investment advice. Leveraged futures trading carries high risk, up to the total loss of capital.